Trend-based population projections

Published by:
Greater London Authority
Last updated:
19 July 2023
Topic:
Not added
Licence:
None

Summary

The trend-based projections include a range of variants based on different assumptions about future levels of migration. The projections are produced for all local authorities in England & Wales and nationally for Scotland and Northern Ireland. The datasets include summary workbooks for London boroughs and detailed component of change outputs for all model areas.

The most recent set of trend-based population projections currently available are the Interim 2021-based variant projections (January 2023).

* 14 July 2023 - following a minor update to the modelled population estimates series, we have made available an additional version of the projections based on these updated inputs. At this time we have no plans to update or replace the outputs and documentation published in January 2023. However, we recommend users looking to use the projections in analysis or as inputs to onward modelling consider using these updated outputs.

The 2021-based projections comprise three principal variants which have been produced using different assumptions about future levels of domestic and international migration. Variant projections have been produced in order to assist users in understanding current uncertainty about future population growth. A full explanation of the differences between these projections is available in the supporting documentation.

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Data links

Link to the data Format File added Data preview
2021-based interim trend projections detailed outputs (updated 14-07-23).zip ZIP 19 July 2023 Not available
2021-based Interim Projections Results HTML 01 February 2023 Not available
2021-based projection: 15-year trend XLSX 01 February 2023 Not available
2021-based projection: 10-year trend XLSX 01 February 2023 Not available
2021-based projection: 5-year migration trend XLSX 01 February 2023 Not available
2021-based interim trend projections detailed outputs ZIP 01 February 2023 Not available

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