RAPID: Numerical meteorological model output data from the HadCM3 control ensemble

Published by:
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis
Last updated:
19 June 2018
Topic:
Environment
Licence:
Open Government Licence
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Summary

Data from "The Predictability of rapid climate change associated with the Atlantic thermohaline circulation" project. This was a Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) RAPID Climate Change Research Programme project (Round 2 - NE/C509174/1 - Duration 1 Jan 2005 - 18 Sep 2008) led by Prof Rowan Sutton of the University of Reading, with co-investigators at the University of Oxford and at the National Oceanography Centre. The dataset identifies the dominant sources of uncertainty in General Circulation Model predictions of the Thermohaline Circulation.

This dataset contains meteorology model output from the HadCM3 control ensemble.

Forecasts of the future behaviour of the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation (THC) are needed to inform policy on climate change. Such forecasts must be probabilistic taking into account the principal sources of uncertainty. It is not possible to sample exhaustively all sources of uncertainty because the number of degrees of freedom is too great. Consequently a future forecasting system will be reliant on strategies to identify those dimensions of uncertainty that are most important. This project developed an objective methodology to identify the dominant sources of uncertainty in General Circulation Model predictions of the THC. Perturbations to oceanic initial conditions and climate model parameters that generate the most rapid change in the THC and related aspects of climate were identified. These perturbations were used to produce an early probabilistic forecast for the behaviour of the THC up to 2100. The results were also feed directly into the next generation of ensemble climate predictions being developed at the UK Hadley Centre.

Rapid Climate Change (RAPID) was a £20 million, six-year (2001-2007) programme for the Natural Environment Research Council. The programme aimed to improve the ability to quantify the probability and magnitude of future rapid change in climate, with a main (but not exclusive) focus on the role of the Atlantic Ocean's Thermohaline Circulation.

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Link to the data Format File added Data preview
RAPID Science plan N/A 19 June 2018 Not available
Rapid Models N/A 19 June 2018 Not available
Rapid brochure N/A 19 June 2018 Not available
Dataset Homepage N/A 19 June 2018 Not available

Additional information

View additional metadata
Added to data.gov.uk
2017-11-02
Access contraints
Registered; Licence: http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
Harvest GUID
96666de7316b34c99a8ac400335017cd
Extent
Latitude: 90.0° to -90.0°
Longitude: -180.0° to 180.0°
Spatial reference system
urn:ogc:def:crs:EPSG::27700
Dataset reference date
2008-12-10T02:40:23 (publication)
2008-12-10T02:40:23 (creation)
Frequency of update
asNeeded
Responsible party
(ceda_officer, author); British Atmospheric Data Centre (custodian, distributer, curator, point_of_contact, metadata_owner, publisher); Polaris House (author); University of Reading (author)
ISO 19139 resource type
series
Metadata language
eng
Source Metadata
XML
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Registered; Licence: http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/